Tuesday, 24 January 2012

US stocks mixed as Greece negotiates to cut debt (AP)

NEW YORK ? Stocks swung between small gains and losses Monday while traders kept an eye on talks in Europe to cut Greece's crushing debt load and prevent what could be a worldwide financial crisis.

European stocks and the euro rose after the continent's finance ministers put pressure on banks that hold Greek government bonds to accept a 50 percent lower face value and lower interest rates.

The Greek stock market gained 5 percent, and markets in Germany, France, Spain and Britain all advanced less than 1 percent. The euro rose more than a penny to $1.302, close to its highest level against the dollar this year.

Negotiators are trying to prevent a disorderly default by Greece in March. The direst scenarios include a credit crisis similar to what happened after the Lehman Brothers investment house fell in 2008.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average rose 44 points in the first hour of trading, drifted lower to a loss of 54 points, then floated higher. It was down 17 points at 12,703 just after 2 p.m. EST.

The Standard & Poor's 500 index was down less than a point at 1,314. The Nasdaq composite index was down three points at 2,783.

Stocks are off to a strong start in 2012. Investors' biggest fears have slowly faded. Stronger than expected job growth in the U.S. and falling borrowing costs for European governments have helped the S&P 500 index post gains on 11 of 13 trading days.

For the year, the Dow is up about 4 percent, the S&P about 4.5 percent.

Maybe the biggest boon to markets this year is the lack of scary headlines, said Jeff Lancaster, a principal at the investment firm Bingham, Osborn & Scarborough.

"When everybody is feeling distressed, anxious and worried as they were at the end of last year, it doesn't take a lot of good news for the mood to change," he said. "It just takes a diminishing quantity of bad news."

Energy companies made big moves. Chesapeake Energy Corp., the No. 2 producer of natural gas in the United States, jumped 6 percent after it said it plans to cut production, a response to the recent slump in natural gas prices.

Natural gas futures rose 7.4 percent to $2.57 per 1,000 cubic feet. Gas futures were trading above $4 just six months ago.

Stocks of other gas producers shot higher. Southwestern Energy Co. jumped 8.7 percent, the biggest gain in the S&P 500. Cabot Oil & Gas Corp. was right behind, rising 7.4 percent.

Apache Corp., a producer of oil and gas, added 1 percent after it said it plans to buy Cordillera Energy Partners in a $2.85 billion deal. It's the largest merger announced in the U.S. this year.

The price of oil rose 67 cents to $99 per barrel. The European Union tightened sanctions against Iran by banning the purchase of Iranian oil. Iran threatened to block shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the passageway for one-sixth of world's oil exports.

Research In Motion Ltd., maker of the BlackBerry, sank 6.5 percent after its new chief executive said no drastic changes are needed. The company's founders announced they were stepping down as co-CEOs late Sunday.

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/stocks/*http%3A//news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20120123/ap_on_bi_st_ma_re/us_wall_street

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Protracted GOP Fight Helps Obama Win Re-Election (ContributorNetwork)

COMMENTARY | Republicans have three winners in the first three primary states -- Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina. Reuters reports Rick Santorum won in Iowa, Mitt Romney was the clear front-runner in New Hampshire and Newt Gingrich won South Carolina with 40 percent of the vote. Romney is set to release his income tax returns in response to criticism that may have cost him a huge lead in South Carolina. A victory in the Palmetto State may have helped Romney win the overall GOP nomination.

The Democratic candidate is running unopposed. President Barack Obama hasn't had to spend money on expensive advertising. He hasn't had to take tours across entire states or even pay money for traveling. The Washington Post reported in early April that Obama declared his candidacy ahead of any of his rivals. He launched his re-election campaign on April 3.

Meanwhile, eight Republican candidates have been whittled down to four after nearly two months of non-stop campaigning. Debates have been aired since the late spring and GOP voters seem to be undecided as to who can best beat Obama.

In the end, once the nominee is selected for the Republicans, it may not even matter who is chosen. The Republican nomination process may continue into May or June. Super Tuesday isn't until early March, another six weeks from now. Some primary and caucuses run into June.

The longer the GOP nominating process goes, candidates will have to spend money against each other instead of someone in the opposing party in the general election. Meanwhile, Obama's war chest simply keeps getting bigger.

Republicans in 2008 at least had the benefit of the same process happening on the Democratic side. CNN reported Hillary Clinton and Obama, both Senators at the time, had back-and-forth primary victories through the whole spring.

Hampering the Republicans is that history isn't on their side. The last time someone won the White House without being involved in politics at the time was Ronald Reagan. He hadn't been in office since the mid-1970s in California when he ran for president on the Republican ticket in 1980. In the race now is a former governor, former Speaker of the House, former Senator and current Representative from Texas. Rep. Ron Paul is the only one of the four remaining mainstream candidates who hasn't won a state yet.

The only good news is that the 2012 election may be eerily similar to 1980. Reagan ran against incumbent Jimmy Carter when the economy wasn't the best, foreign policy was muddled by the Iran hostage crisis and Carter's policies weren't popular.

The only way the GOP will win back the White House is if the 1980 election happens all over again. Otherwise, four more years of Obama is guaranteed.

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/gop/*http%3A//news.yahoo.com/s/ac/20120123/us_ac/10874729_protracted_gop_fight_helps_obama_win_reelection

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Verizon Communications: Earnings Preview - Seeking Alpha

The largest U.S. mobile service provider Verizon Communications (VZ) is slated to release its fourth quarter and fiscal 2011 earnings on January 24, before the opening bell. The current Zacks Consensus Estimate is pegged at 54 cents for the fourth quarter, representing a year-over-year decrease of 0.27% while for fiscal 2011 it stands at $2.17, representing a substantial increase of 18.49% from the prior year.

With respect to surprises, Verizon had a 1.27% average positive earnings surprise in the trailing four quarters.

The company did not release any financial forecast for the fourth quarter during its third quarter conference call. Notably, Verizon is expected to add 200,000 subscribers in both FiOS TV and FiOS Internet services for the fourth quarter as it cleared the FiOS installation backlog, which stemmed from the severe storm in the East Coast in September and the 14-day labor strike in August last year.

For fiscal 2011, Verizon expects revenue and earnings per share to grow 4%?8% and 5%?8% year over year, respectively.

Third Quarter Flashback

Verizon?s third quarter adjusted earnings of 56 cents per share matched the Zacks Consensus Estimate and was a penny above the year-ago earnings. The storm in the East Coast and the 14-day labor strike in the Wireline segment enhanced the operating cost by $250 million and hurt profitability in the third quarter.

However, on a GAAP basis, earnings more than doubled on strong smartphone sales. Revenue improved during the quarter and surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate on continued strength in the wireless segment. Wireless revenue advanced on the back of strong data revenues and subscriber growth. Rapid expansion of 4G Long-Term Evolution (LTE) services, strong adoption of Google inc. (GOOG) Android smartphones and the sale of Apple Inc.'s (AAPL) iPhone led to the strong upside in wireless subscribers.

Despite the solid momentum for FiOS fiber-optic network, Wireline revenue dipped on lower global wholesale and other businesses. The penetration rate of both FiOS Internet and FiOS TV accelerated to approximately 35% and 31%, respectively.

Agreement of Analysts

Estimates reflect a negative bias for both the fourth quarter and fiscal 2011 over the last 7 and 30 days. For the fourth quarter, 2 and 16 analysts out of 27 made downward revisions in the last 7 and 30 days, respectively. For fiscal 2011, out of the 30 analysts, respective 2 and 18 made downward revisions in the last 7 and 30 days.

None of the analysts made positive revisions for the fourth quarter and fiscal 2011.

The analysts made downward revisions primarily based on the iPhone subsidies, which will likely limit Verizon?s margins and profits in the fourth quarter. Although the fourth quarter iPhone sales more than doubled from the prior quarter, Verizon expects the device to impact wireless gross margin by 500?600 basis points (bps).

The wireless margin is now expected to be in the range of 42% to 43% for the fourth quarter versus 47.8% reported in the third quarter. In addition, the iPhone does not support Verizon?s new high-speed 4G network that uses the LTE technology. Further, Verizon faced a number of failures exiting fiscal 2011. Verizon Wireless, a joint venture between Verizon and Vodafone Plc (VOD), had experienced three service outages in its new 4G network last month, denting its reputation for network quality.

Moreover, the analysts believe that persistent access line losses in wireline, competitive pressures from its largest rivals AT&T Inc. (T) and Sprint Nextel Corp. (S), high promotional and restructuring expenses would further limit the earnings upside potential.

The analysts believe these negative attributes offsets Verizon?s strong subscriber count and average revenue per user, which is driven by increased penetration of smartphones and iPhones that recorded astounding performance in the U.S. market.

Magnitude ? Consensus Estimate Trend

The magnitude of revisions for fourth quarter remained stable over the last 7 days at 54 cents, but lowered from 56 cents over the last 30 days.

Similarly, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2011 remained static at $2.17 over the last 7 days and was down by 3 cents over the last 30 days.

Neutral Recommendation

We believe Verizon is on track to meet its revenue and earnings targets based on the introduction of new smartphones, tablets and data devices in the Wireless segment as well as continued strong FiOS fiber-optic network and strategic services in the Wireline business. Additionally, the new iPhone 4S, successful integration of Terremark and the recent acquisition of CloudSwitch would boost the company?s growth prospects.

Further, Verizon is progressing fast to acquire more spectrum licenses in order to support its video content and other data services in the rapidly growing smartphone market. In this regard, the company would buy spectrums from Leap Wireless (LEAP), Comcast (CMCSA), Time Warner Cable (TWC), Bright House Networks and Cox Communications Inc.

Although these spectrum deals would be accretive to Verizon in the long term, we believe it might put pressure on the balance sheet in the short term by reducing cash balances and increasing capital expenditures. In addition, persistent erosion in access lines, uncertain returns from investments, iPhone subsidies and intense competition from cable companies and other alternative services providers are threats to the stock.

We are currently maintaining our long-term Neutral recommendation on Verizon. For the short term (1-3 months), the stock retains a Zacks #4 (Sell) Rank.

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Source: http://seekingalpha.com/article/321045-verizon-communications-earnings-preview

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Refresh Roundup: week of January 16, 2012


Your smartphone and / or tablet is just begging to get updated. From time to time, these mobile devices are blessed with maintenance refreshes, bug fixes, custom ROMs and anything in between, and so many of them are floating around that it's easy for a sizable chunk to get lost in the mix. To make sure they don't escape without notice, we've gathered every possible update, hack, and other miscellaneous tomfoolery from the last week and crammed them into one convenient roundup. If you find something available for your device, please give us a shout at tips at engadget dawt com and let us know. Enjoy!

Continue reading Refresh Roundup: week of January 16, 2012

Refresh Roundup: week of January 16, 2012 originally appeared on Engadget on Sun, 22 Jan 2012 17:42:00 EDT. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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Source: http://www.engadget.com/2012/01/22/refresh-roundup/

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Monday, 23 January 2012

YouTube hits 4 billion views per day, deals with 60 hours of uploaded content every minute

It looks like that redesign was worth it. The Google-owned video site has recently revealed that it's now streaming 4 billion videos every day, up 25 percent on daily views from eight months earlier. According to Reuter's report, the site now has to deal with around 60 hours of uploaded video every minute. As long as those education videos are kept separate and the cat content keeps coming, we'll be happy.

YouTube hits 4 billion views per day, deals with 60 hours of uploaded content every minute originally appeared on Engadget on Mon, 23 Jan 2012 07:45:00 EDT. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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Source: http://www.engadget.com/2012/01/23/youtube-hit-4-billion-views-per-day-deals-with-60-hours-of-uplo/

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Lost decade of growth for the West (Reuters)

(Reuters) ? Five years after the credit crisis began, Western economies are confronting the prospect of a lost decade of growth, and international diplomats are warning the damage could get even worse if Europe allows its sovereign debt crisis to fester much longer.

International Monetary Fund chief Christine Lagarde is heading to Berlin on Monday to urge action after the IMF called for member countries to provide the fund with $500 billion for new loans to help out troubled countries.

G20 officials also say Europe must double the size of its rescue fund to $1 trillion as a crucial step to stabilize financial markets and prevent the euro-zone crisis from spreading. Europe finance ministers meet on their debt plan on Tuesday.

The World Bank already sees the damage taking hold as European banks pull back their lending to emerging economies. Last week it slashed its growth forecast more than one percentage point to 2.5 percent for 2012, a pace not seen since 2008 when the world was last in a global recession.

"The risk of a global freezing-up of the markets and as well as a global crisis similar to what happened in September 2008 are real," Justin Lin, the chief economist for the World Bank, said.

The IMF also is set to cut its growth forecasts this week.

Although the United States has shown encouraging signs in recent weeks, the economy remains far too feeble for any upturn to be either strong or sustained. Europe is no better off and already appears to have fallen back into a mild recession.

Goldman Sachs calculates that per capita GDP growth in the United States has shrunk by 0.7 percent each year between 2007 and 2011, compared with 2.0 percent growth in the decade prior to the recession. In the euro area, the decline has been similar, 0.6 percent drop against a 1.8 percent pre-recession rate.

The concern is that the destruction of skills and capital investment caused by recession and slow growth rates will lead to a structurally lower rate of growth and higher rate of unemployment for a protracted period. If left unchecked, it would make it even harder to handle huge government debt loads, making the growth outlook even less stable.

Jerome Levy Forecasting sees the United States trapped in a low growth cycle throughout the rest of this decade, at least until household debt levels are paid down, businesses have restructured to regain competitiveness and wage growth returned.

"We are not holding our breath for a rapid turnaround. In fact for this year, we are investing in scuba gear in case it worsens," said economist Robert King.

FED PREPARES

It is against this backdrop that the Federal Reserve is preparing to unveil an overhaul of its long-run goals and strategy for conducting monetary policy on Wednesday, a move that could lay the groundwork for further steps to support the U.S. economy if needed.

The Fed on Wednesday will begin publishing the interest rate forecasts from its individual members. While seemingly a technical step, it can help shape investor expectations on the outlook and possibly will be used to signal an even longer time period that the Federal Open Market Committee plans on keeping interest rates at extremely low levels.

"The immediate benefit is that it will allow the FOMC to replace the implicit commitment of keeping rates near zero until mid-2013 with more flexible guidance," said Troy Davig, economist at Barclays Capital.

The Fed also may spell out for the first time a specific inflation target and an employment goal. An inflation target would reassure investors the Fed remains firmly committed to keeping inflation under control, even if it does decide to inject more money into the economy to stimulate growth through asset purchases. It already has bought $2.3 trillion in bonds, making its balance sheet so large that critics say it is sowing the seeds of runaway inflation.

Any further Fed action, however, is probably months away. Fourth quarter GDP data for the United States due out on Friday is expected to show the fastest growth in 18 months, at 3.1 percent up from 1.8 percent in the prior quarter. But analysts doubt that the quickened pace can last.

The bulk of the Q4 gain is expected to come from a rebuilding of inventories and unless final demand for goods and services also has accelerated notably - unlikely when wage growth is flat to declining, consumer debt levels high and export demand weakened - the improvement will prove short lived.

In Europe, the picture looks much worse.

The United Kingdom may be sliding into recession. It releases its Q4 GDP data on Thursday, and it is expected to show the economy shrank by 0.1 percent after growing 0.6 percent in Q3. The Royal Bank of Canada expects the Bank of England to expand its asset purchases by 50 billion pounds sterling in February to give the economy further help.

In the euro zone, the flash reading on Markit PMI indices on Wednesday will gave a sense of the severity of its recession. The manufacturing index is forecast to contract for the sixth month in a row though at a slower pace of 47.3 in January, compared with 46.9 in December. The services index also is seen remaining just below the 50 mark, which separates growth from shrinkage, little changed from the prior month.

When world leaders and corporate leaders gather in Davos, Switzerland, for the World Economic Forum on Wednesday through Sunday, they will face the most challenging economic conditions the world has seen since the 2008/2009 recession.

(Reporting By Stella Dawson)

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/economy/*http%3A//news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20120122/bs_nm/us_economy_global

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Yemen president gives farewell speech, apologizes

FILE - In this Friday, April 8, 2011 file photo, Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh reacts while looking at his supporters, not pictured, during a rally supporting him, in Sanaa,Yemen. Yemeni officials say outgoing President Ali Abdullah Saleh will leave soon to Oman, en route to medical treatment in the United States. Washington has been trying to get Saleh out of Yemen _ though not to settle in the U.S. _ to allow a peaceful transition from his rule. However, there appear to be differences whether Saleh would remain in exile. (AP Photo/Muhammed Muheisen, File)

FILE - In this Friday, April 8, 2011 file photo, Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh reacts while looking at his supporters, not pictured, during a rally supporting him, in Sanaa,Yemen. Yemeni officials say outgoing President Ali Abdullah Saleh will leave soon to Oman, en route to medical treatment in the United States. Washington has been trying to get Saleh out of Yemen _ though not to settle in the U.S. _ to allow a peaceful transition from his rule. However, there appear to be differences whether Saleh would remain in exile. (AP Photo/Muhammed Muheisen, File)

SANAA, Yemen (AP) ? Outgoing Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh is getting ready to leave the country after delivering a farewell speech on Sunday, apologizing for mistakes and saying it is time to hand over power, Yemeni officials said.

Aides to the president told The Associated Press that Saleh gathered top political, military and security officials and announced promotion of Yemeni Vice President Abed Rabbo Mansour Hadi to the rank of marshal. He is set to replace Saleh.

"I appeal to you to forgive my past mistakes," one top ruling party official quoted Saleh as saying. "Today, I leave the country in your hands," he said, according to the official, who was among those attended the event early in the morning. In November Saleh signed a power transfer deal but has balked at actually leaving.

Another aide who attended the meeting quoted Saleh as saying, "I am leaving this good country, today. I want to bid you farewell from this place. I thank each one of you and offer my apology to the people and ask for forgiveness."

A third official said that Saleh declined to hold a departure ceremony and preferred to offer his farewell behind closed doors.

The officials requested of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak to reporters.

On Saturday, Yemeni officials said that Saleh intends to leave soon to Oman, en route to medical treatment in the United States, part of an American effort to get the embattled strongman out of the country to allow a peaceful transition from his rule.

Washington has been trying for weeks to find a country where Saleh can live in exile, since it does not want him to settle permanently in the United States. The mercurial president, who has ruled for more than 33 years, has repeatedly vacillated over whether he would leave.

After nearly a year of protests demanding his ouster, Saleh signed the agreement to hand his powers over to Hadi and step down. Hadi set up a unity government between his party and the opposition.

Even so, Saleh ? still formally the president ? has continued to influence politics from behind the scenes through his family and loyalists in positions of power.

Associated Press

Source: http://hosted2.ap.org/APDEFAULT/cae69a7523db45408eeb2b3a98c0c9c5/Article_2012-01-22-ML-Yemen/id-e68ec397ed9843ae9040e14941c508be

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